UPDATE: At 1:52am MST, the President's lead in Ohio has grown to 171,533. The grave is getting deeper for the Johns. Later.............
Ok, so Kerry is not throwing in the towel just yet and that's his right but allow me to point out the flaws in his logic.
All the networks and most other news sources including the Secretary of State in Ohio agreed that there are about 150,000 provisional ballots in Ohio that need to be investigated and counted starting Nov. 11th. For those that ride on the short bus, here's a short explanation of a provisional ballot.
Provisional Ballot: This is a ballot that allows a voter who is not on the voter rolls to cast a ballot in the chance that they are an actual registered voter. The most likely reason for a voter to use a provisional ballot is that they have moved and the State did not correct their address, hence them not being listed on the voter roll.
According to the State of Ohio, The President has a lead of 2,710,296 to 2,542,710 for Senator Kerry at 1:24am MST with 96.79% of precincts reporting. That is a margin of 167,586. Now before all you Ohio Democrats start crying about
Ok, so we have a figure of around 150,000 provisional ballots and knowing that the traditional rate of valid provisional ballot is 7% to 20%, again according to most news sources and the Secretary of State. I will even give you Dems the high side number of 20% and say that there are 30,000 valid provisional ballots. Now follow closely, if all 30,000 ballots are for Kerry, which by the way is statically an impossibility, which would still leave Kerry short by 120,000 votes. Do you see where the math gets fuzzy?
So let’s say that after X amount of days and legal challenges, Kerry is still 120,000 down in
Now that we have covered all that, Senator Kerry needs to go back to being an ineffectual senator and Mr. Edwards, having given up his senate seat, can go back to making money off the sick and injured of North Carolina.
I declare President Bush the winner (of